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Monster gold and silver from detecting the lake beach

Finding multiple silver AND multiple gold rings from 8 hours of hunting this beach was something I never expected. Here I am hunting a dry swimming beach at a drought stricken lake. I had…
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Quantum Control StockMarket – Sending RFQs from the Customer Quote Module

Quantum Control StockMarket - Sending RFQs from the Customer Quote Module

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This is the stock market, full day with respect to the date described above. This would be a useful tool to reference if you are an active trader or a historian of the markets. Please remember…

Advice from Warren Buffett that could make you rich

Warren Buffett in 90 seconds

The Berkshire Hathaway annual letter is out, and Warren Buffett again finds new ways to preach what he’s been saying for 50 years.

Such consistency has paid off for Buffett: A jaw-dropping return of 1,826,163% over the past half century. That’s an average annual gain of 21.6%, compared to 9.9% for the S&P 500.

You probably can’t do as well as Buffett — he’s got a lot of advantages you don’t — but his advice can get you a lot of the way to reaching your goals.

1. “America’s best days lie ahead”

Remember 2008, the early days of the Great Recession? A lot of people couldn’t imagine better days ahead, got scared and sold their stocks. A massive rally of 200% followed for those with the courage to ride out the tough times.

Buffett and his partner Charlie Munger held strong, and took the opportunity to pick up bargains. True, they’re billionaires and can better afford to do so. But it’s a lesson for all of us.

In 2015, there is no shortage of reasons to worry. But here’s what Buffett has to say about it:

“Charlie and I have always considered a “bet” on ever-rising U.S. prosperity to be very close to a sure thing. Though the preachers of pessimism prattle endlessly about America’s problems, I’ve never seen one who wishes to emigrate (though I can think of a few for whom I would happily buy a one-way ticket). Most assuredly, America’s best days lie ahead.”

2. If you think long, stocks aren’t as risky as you think

Sure, stocks can take you on some scary rides. Bad years with losses of 10% or 20% come around often enough. Specific stocks you own might go to zero if you were really speculating.

But Buffett spends some time telling investors not to mistake those ups-and-downs with risk — provided you build a diversified portfolio of established companies, and are saving for the long term.

Here’s Buffett: “It has been far safer to invest in a diversified collection of American businesses than to invest in securities — Treasuries, for example — whose values have been tied to American currency. That was also true in the preceding half-century, a period including the Great Depression and two world wars. Investors should heed this history. To one degree or another it is almost certain to be repeated during the next century.”

Buffett helpfully outlines the mistakes that will undermine stocks’ potential: “Investors, of course, can, by their own behavior, make stock ownership highly risky. And many do. Active trading, attempts to “time” market movements, inadequate diversification, the payment of high and unnecessary fees to managers and advisors, and the use of borrowed money can destroy the decent returns that a life-long owner of equities would otherwise enjoy.”

Related: Scared of a market crash? Read this

3. Don’t listen to the “experts.”

What are the top strategists saying now? Who cares?

“Anything can happen anytime in markets,” writes Buffett. “And no advisor, economist, or TV commentator — and definitely not Charlie nor I — can tell you when chaos will occur. Market forecasters will fill your ear but will never fill your wallet.”

4. Be decisive

Sometimes you know the right thing to do, but it just “feels” better to go slow.

Even Buffett is vulnerable to that behavior, and he says it cost him in 2014 with his investment in Tesco, the British supermarket chain.

“In 2013, I soured somewhat on the company’s then-management and sold 114 million shares, realizing a profit of $ 43 million. My leisurely pace in making sales would prove expensive. Charlie calls this sort of behavior “thumb-sucking.”

“During 2014, Tesco’s problems worsened by the month. The company’s market share fell, its margins contracted and accounting problems surfaced. In the world of business, bad news often surfaces serially: You see a cockroach in your kitchen; as the days go by, you meet his relatives.”

Buffett finally got out completely, but ended up with a loss of more than $ 400 million.

Related: Warren Buffett knows who the next ‘Buffett’ is

Related: How good is Warren Buffett? Very good

Related: Investors who lose money make these two mistakes

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McDead? More lousy results from McDonald’s

5 stunning stats about McDonald’s

NEW YORK (CNNMoney)

Ba da ba ba blech! McDonald’s reported awful results for the fourth quarter and warned that the first half of 2015 will be a McChallenge.

Investors were not too alarmed. The stock was flat Friday morning as some on Wall Street were expecting the numbers to be even worse.

But make no mistake. McDonald’s (MCD) is in desperate need of a turnaround.

The company reported that its overall sales in the fourth quarter fell 7%. And comparable or same-store sales, a key measure of health in the restaurant industry, fell nearly 1%. Profits were down 21%.

For the full year, sales dropped by 2% and earnings fell 15%.

Related: McDonald’s is shrinking its menu

Is McDonald’s too fried? Shares of McDonald’s have fallen 8% over the past three years … a period of time when the broader market — as well as fast food rivals — such as Wendy’s (WEN) and Yum! Brands (YUM) have surged.

“As we begin 2015, we are taking decisive action to regain momentum in sales, guest counts and market share,” said CEO Don Thompson said in a statement Friday.

The company has been trying to focus more on healthier food to try and rejuvenate sales around the world. While its struggles in its home market have been widely publicized, McDonald’s sales are also falling in Europe and Asia.

Related: Plastic found in Chicken McNuggets in Japan

An issue with a supplier of tainted meat in Asia last summer hurt sales in China and Japan in the fourth quarter as well.

McDonald’s said in its earnings release that it plans to further simplify its menu this year and also try to cater more to “local customer tastes and preferences.”

CFO Peter Bensen added that the company is also planning to slow down its expansion. He said that McDonald’s only plans to spend $ 2 billion on capital expenditures in 2015 — its smallest budget in more than 5 years. He also said that there will be fewer restaurant openings in the company’s “most challenged markets.”

Will this be enough to restore the shine in those Golden Arches though?

Related: High calories = high stock prices … except for McDonald’s

Thompson said that same-store sales would fall in January and that the company’s results will remain under pressure for some time. Yet, he’s still hopeful.

“I am energized by the opportunities ahead for McDonald’s and remain confident that we can regain our momentum and build value for shareholders over the long term,” he said.

More competition: But there is intense competition in the restaurant business. The so-called fast casual craze has hurt McDonald’s.

Related: Forget healthy, Americans indulge on Sonic

Ironically enough, the leader of the fast casual revolution, Mexican chain Chipotle (CMG), was spun off by McDonald’s in 2006.

The burger wars are heating up too. In addition to companies like Wendy’s and Burger King (QSR), several upstart burger joints are generating a lot of buzz as well.

Habit Restaurants (HABT), a West-Coast based burger chain, went public late last year and shares more than doubled on their first day.

And investors are eagerly awaiting the debut of Shake Shack (SHAK), which is set to start trading next week.

Twitter not lovin’ new McDonald’s ad

McDonald’s also has a lot to do to repair its public image.

The company has launched a new ad campaign that’s an attempt to pull at the heartstrings … but has come across as being insensitive to some critics since it references national tragedies such as 9/11 and the Boston Marathon bombing.

Related: McDonald’s sued over claims of racism

And McDonald’s is also one of the most prominent companies targeted by workers who have taken part in nationwide protests calling for a higher minimum wage.

McDonald’s clearly needs a new special sauce to convince consumers and investors why they should be lovin’ it again.

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Gold $3,000 in 3 Years from Now – Gary Christenson Interview

Gold Value and Gold Prices from 1971 – 2021: An Empirical Model Link: http://www.amazon.com/dp/1452517061 Gary is the owner and writer for popular contrarian…
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Value Of Gold . . . . .24-hour Spot Chart – Gold – Kitco www.kitco.com/charts/livegold.html Live 24-hour Spot Gold Chart from New York, London, Hong Kong and…
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Big Oil loses $200 billion from oil price crash

The story behind oil’s plunge

NEW YORK (CNNMoney)

Big Oil is shrinking.

ExxonMobil (XOM), the largest public energy company in the world, has seen its market cap plunge by more than $ 50 billion. Energy titans like Chevron (CVX) and ConocoPhillips (COP) have experienced even sharper declines on a percentage basis.

These companies are being slammed by crude oil falling below $ 50 a barrel. Drilling projects that made lots of financial sense at $ 100 a barrel no longer look smart.

America’s 10 largest oil and natural gas companies have lost more than $ 200 billion combined since oil peaked in June, according to a CNNMoney analysis of FactSet data.

To combat depressed prices, oil companies are hitting the brakes on spending and laying off workers.

Investors are saying “enough.” They are dumping their energy stocks as the outlook for profits and dividends has diminished significantly.

200 billion oil The meltdown in oil prices has wiped out more than $ 200 billion in market valuation among the 10 largest oil and natural gas companies in the S&P 500.

Related: Cheap oil is killing my job

No one expected this: All of the blame goes to the unexpected meltdown in oil. Between 2012 and 2014, oil rarely left its comfort zone of $ 90 to $ 110 a barrel. Falling below $ 50 was almost unthinkable. Now some believe crude could drop as low as $ 30.

“No one really saw this coming. The suddenness and length of this pullback has been very surprising,” said Brian Youngberg, an analyst who covers energy stocks at Edward Jones.

It’s forced Wall Street analysts like Youngberg to repeatedly slash their estimates of future profits for the industry. Those estimates are closely watched by investors as earnings are the engine behind future stock prices.

Related: Why Wall Street hates cheap gas and Main Street loves it

Profit outlook darkens: Estimates on S&P 500 energy earnings hit record highs in early October. At that point, oil was still above $ 85 a barrel.

Since then, forecasts have tanked. In the 12 weeks through December 25, the forward earnings of the sector plunged by 30% to $ 90 billion, according to Yardeni Research.

“There’s no question that earnings per share and cash flow will be under great pressure in 2015,” said Youngberg.

Six months ago energy earnings were expected to increase slightly in 2015. Now operating earnings per share are expected to plunge about 28%, according to S&P Capital IQ. It’s the only sector out of 10 in the S&P 500 forecasted to post a decline this year.

“People forgot about just how volatile oil prices can be,” said Stewart Glickman, director of equity research for energy and materials at Capital IQ.

Related: Some companies won’t survive the oil meltdown

Buying opportunity? It’s easy to see how energy stocks could tumble further if oil continues to sink. But the meltdown may have created an opening for patient bargain hunters.

“If you’re really focused on that long-term horizon of five to 10 years, we think investors will look back and see this was a great buying opportunity,” said Youngberg.

He said investors need to focus on companies that pay a decent dividend and have balance sheets healthy enough to weather the storm.

“The key is you have to be patient in the near term. Expect the potential of further downside,” Youngberg said.

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